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Get In The Game - with Nigel Ridgway of bet365 Written by: Nigel Ridgway (2005-08-04 21:00:58) GOLF **** GARCIA IS THE INTERNATIONAL PICK Th Aug 4 – 4:00 pm (USA)/20:00 GMT Fr Aug 5 – 4:00 pm (USA)/20:00 GMT Sa Aug 6 – 3:00 pm (CBS)/19:00 GMT Su Aug 7 – 3:00 pm (CBS)/19:00 GMT This is the week of the US Tour season when players can crack their drives around 400 yards due to the high altitude of the course at Castle Pines in Colorado. And experience of the unusual conditions has been essential for success in the past. Phil Mickelson, six times in the top 16 since 1996, is the favorite to win, but he's not been in the same form recently as he was at the start of the year and can be swerved at 9/1. Instead, we'll go for Sergio Garcia at 12/1 (another consistent performer here with four top-20's in five years), in the hope that he can pick up as he left off at the Open Championship, where a tie for fifth was his third top-five in four starts. His aggressive style of play will certainly be rewarded by the Stapleford scoring system in operation this week (an eagle is worth five points and a birdie two points). Stuart Appleby is another who has shown a liking for the course (runner up in 1997 and third in 2000), while the final vote goes to past winner Tom Pernice at 80/1 (each-way Ό odds 1.2.3.4.5). Live In-Play betting will be available throughout. International Picks: Sergio Garcia @ 12/1; Stuart Appleby @ 50/1; Tiger Woods @ 2/1

FOOTBALL
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NFL PRESEASON TRENDS
San Diego @ Green Bay
Th Aug 11 – 8:00 pm (ESPN)/Aug 12 - 00:00 GMT

Detroit @ NY Jets
Fr Aug 12 - 7:00 pm/23:00 GMT

New England @ Cincinnati
Fr Aug 12 – 7:30 pm/23:30 GMT

Chicago @ St. Louis
Fr Aug 12 – 8:00 pm/Aug 13 – 00:00 GMT

Kansas City @ Minnesota
Fr Aug 12 – 8:00 pm/Aug 13 – 00:00 GMT

Seattle @ New Orleans
Fr Aug 12 – 8:00 pm/Aug 13 – 00:00 GMT

Tampa Bay @ Tennessee
Fr Aug 12 – 8:00 pm/Aug 13 – 00:00 GMT

Baltimore @ Atlanta
Sa Aug 13 – 7:30 pm/23:30 GMT

Miami @ Jacksonville
Sa Aug 13 – 7:30 pm/23:30 GMT

Buffalo @ Indianapolis
Sa Aug 13 – 8:00 pm/Aug 14 – 00:00 GMT

Denver @ Houston
Sa Aug 13 – 8:00 pm/Aug 14 – 00:00 GMT

NY Giants @ Cleveland
Sa Aug 13 – 8:00 pm/Aug 14 – 00:00 GMT

Washington @ Carolina
Sa Aug 13 - 8:00 pm/Aug 14 – 00:00 GMT

Dallas @ Arizona
Sa Aug 13 – 10:00 pm/Aug 14 - 02:00 GMT

Oakland @ San Francisco
Sa Aug 13 – 10:00 pm/Aug 14 - 02:00 GMT

Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh
Mo Au 15 – 8:00 pm (ESPN)/Aug 16 – 00:00 GMT
The NFL preseason games are not every bettor's cup of tea, as many coaches just use them to prepare for the regular season. Starters, namely quarterbacks, are very carefully played, which is not surprising as no coach will want to risk injuring their star quarterback in what is a meaningless match. However, there are games where you can gain a definite edge, and make money of course! The key is to identify the head coaches who have a track record of wanting to win, and those who just don't care. Here's a rundown of the teams that you should be concentrating on in the next few weeks if you want to get in the 'game the game.'

Carolina is a perfect 8-0 against the spread (ATS) in the last two years, which includes a mark of 6-0 as an underdog.
Chicago played very conservatively last season in Lovie Smith's first year in charge, producing four straight 'under' games.
Cleveland is another team to see the 'under' go 4-0 last season.
Dallas coach Bill Parcels has shown in the past that he likes to win preseason. However, the Cowboys have not started fast, losing their first game the last two years.
Denver went 6-2 ATS in both 2002 and 03, with seven of the eight going 'under' the total.
Green Bay has seen the 'under' go 6-0 in their last six games, so a very strong trend here.
Houston have a dismal record (3-10 ATS) since they entered the league back in 2002.
Indianapolis has been money-makers over the past two years (6-2 ATS).
Jacksonville has seen the 'under' go 7-1 in the last two seasons.
Miami could be an improved team this season under new coach Nick Saban, especially at home.
Minnesota is probably a team to avoid after the loss of their defensive coordinators.
New England head coach Bill Bellicheck stresses defense (as in the regular season) with the 'under' standing at 10-2 in the last 12 games.
Oakland had three out of four 'under' games last season.
Pittsburgh backers can make money on the totals – the 'over' stands at 6-2 (a perfect 4-0 in their first two games the last two years).
St Louis have a reputation for wide open defensive play but coach Mike Martz has take a more conservative approach to the preseason, so the value will be with the 'under'.
San Diego produced a strong trend last year with all four games going over the total.
San Francisco were awful last year (0-4 ATS), and it's hard to see them do any better this time.
Tampa Bay was 'under' a perfect 4-0 last preseason.
Tennesse has gone 7-1 ATS, and seven of those eight games have gone 'under, so look for that trend to continue.

Based on this information, the following games next week are worthy of attention:

NFL Preseason Week 1 Picks:

Indianapolis (-2.0) to beat Atlanta
Chicago @ Miami – under 33.0
New England @ Cincinnati – under 37.0
Tampa Bay @ Tennessee – under 37.0 (TOP PICK!)
Denver (-1.0) to beat Houston
Carolina (-3.5) to beat Washington
Arizona (Pick) to beta Dallas
Philadelphia @ Pittsburgh – over 36.0

All of the above are priced @ 10/11.

NASCAR
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BIFFLE TO GO FOR INDY WIN
Live In Play Betting – Su Aug 7 – 2:00 pm (NBC)/18:00 GMT
The NASCAR series moves to Indianapolis for the 12th Allstate 400 at the Brickyard on Sunday and, as always, there's a whole host of candidates to win. What's surprising though is that the favorite, Greg Biffle (5/1), is from a team that has never won at the Brickyard – Roush Racing.

To understand this we need to look at the results from the earlier races at Pocono, and Roush swept the season at Pocono with wins by Carl Edwards and Kurt Busch. The relevance has always been there because the teams use the same set up at each track and, most of the time, the exact same cars due to the similarly flat turns and long straights. And Roush Racing team mates, Greg Biffle and Matt Kenseth, served notice that they will contend for victory this week by posting the fastest laps in private testing at the track on July 11th. Biffle turned the fastest lap that day at 181.963 mph in the No. 16 National Guard, and has said that his team's approach to this week will not change despite his comfortable position (currently 3rd) heading into the Chase for the NEXTEL Cup. There is a lot of history at Indy and, as fiercely competitive as he is, Biffle will want to win this week.

No preview of the Brickyard at Indy would be complete without a mention of the inaugural winner, Jeff Gordon. Since bursting on to the NASCAR scene with what was only his second career win in his second full season, Gordon's name has been synonymous with the track, adding three more wins, to go with over 70 career wins. To win a fourth would be an accomplishment and a testament to his greatness in the sport. He comes here as defending champion, but things have not gone to plan this season for the team. They have great equipment, but somehow it's not been put together right, but don't be surprised if they figure it out this week.

Nigel's Checkered Flag: Greg Biffle @ 5/1; Jeff Gordon @ 8/1 (Each-way, 1/5 odds 1.2.3)

bet365 latest Brickyard 400 prices … Greg Biffle 5/1, Tony Stewart 7/1, Kurt Busch, Jeff Gordon, Jimmie Johnson 8/1, Matt Kenseth 12/1, others on bet365 website.

NEW - Please note we'll have live in-play betting on the Brickyard 400!

Get in the game and be lucky!

Nigel

Please be aware that prices are subject to change. All times EST (unless otherwise noted) and are subject to change. Check local listings.

NIGEL RIDGWAY, an experienced punter and betting shop owner of many years, believes that “The key to successful gambling is getting value for money.” Nigel was once forced by local bookmakers, to stop writing a tipping column in a UK newspaper, because he was costing them a fortune. Find out what offers and lines are hot at bet365.com